In December 2016 I mentionned in this post that on the 30th December 2016 the stash stood at 244.000 euro. This after an impressive gain of 68.000 euro or 39% in 2016. This gain was due to the fact that Berkshire Hathaway had a brilliant performance, my first ever leveraged construction worked out great and the USD got stronger compared to the EUR (as I am mainly invested in USD).
So how did I do in 2017?
On December 30th my stash stands at a somewhat dissapointing 286.000 euro. A gain of 42.000 euro or 17,21%. Add in the 1 750 EUR I withdrew this year and I stand at a gain of 17,93%. Not bad, and for the second year in a row the stash grew more than what I have spend in the year. Which technically makes me financial independent.
But still, looking at those numbers I am somewhat diappointed. Let me explain. I am almost 100% invested in Berkshire hathaway. On 30th December 2016 it stood at 162,98 USD and it closed the year at 198,22 USD or a gain of 21,6%
I had my leveraged construction working out fine and giving me around 20 000 USD in profits.
I wrote several puts that all were profitable.
And I made 7 500 USD in daytrading profits.
So how the hell did I underperform Berkshire Hathaway? The reason is simple, almost all of it was in USD and the USD got a lot weaker against the EUR in 2017. I had strong currency head winds. EUR USD was 1,0522 at the start of the year and ended the year at 1,2016. And I was fully invested and leveraged in USD: ouch. Had the currency rate remained the same my stash would have been worth 326 600 euro or a 33,85% gain!!
So all my effort, and then some, was wiped out by the lower USD. It didn’t really off course. Everything is all there. I started out the year with almost no cash and am now able to plow 33 500 USD in UVXY puts. It’s just when you report it in EUR, the ‘loss’ appears.
While it is no fun, I rather have the USD drop while both Berkshire Hathaway and my leveraged construction work out fine than have everything at once work against me. At least I still made a decent profit.
It also proves that when you are an active investor you shouldn’t really be bother by currency fluctuations. Despite the falling USD and being fully invested in USD, I still made more money (in EURO’s) off my stash than my annual spending! It would only be when I need to exchange USD for EUR that the lower exchange rate would hurt me. But I didn’t need to this. My 1 750 EUR withdrawal from the stash did not come form converting dollars but came from puts I sold in euro’s!
Since my new leverage construction is in euro’s (more because of the lower intrest rates then low confidence in the strength of the USD). In 2018 I should at least have a 20 000 euro cashflow generated by a portfolio almost completely in USD. As an active investor, forget about the currency and just go where the investments are the most attractive (with the possible exception of places like Zimbabwe or Venezuela).